Aedifica Research

Research that de-risks the decision.

Institutions do not adopt pathways on enthusiasm. They adopt them on evidence. Aedifica Research publishes the analysis behind the model: the demand data, the supply gaps, and the design lessons from our own deliveries, so partners can defend the decision to their boards before they defend it to anyone else.

Featured report · June 2026

The supervisor gap

New Jersey’s building-electrification mandates and clean-infrastructure funding will require an estimated 2,000 to 3,000 green-fluent construction managers by 2030. The credentialed supply today is near zero. This report maps the demand, the pipeline, and the pathway architecture required to close the distance.

Aedifica ResearchPublished · 2026-06New Jersey / NY metro

Exhibit 1 · Net new U.S. construction workers needed, by year, thousands

439

349

456

202520262027

Replace retirements & exitsMeet new construction demand

Source: ABC 2025–26 workforce models; AGC / Sage 2026 Construction Outlook.

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PublishedR·02 · Delivery case study

Bridging Brilliance: a delivery case study

What a twelve-week, twenty-one-student community STEM intensive taught us about running cohorts inside a real school week: materials, staffing, showcase, and what we would change.

Field lessons documented, from building trust early to cross-institutional partnership

10 of 10 lessons

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Aedifica Strategy Insights · June 2026

Who will run the build?

The next decade of US infrastructure and clean-energy spending is funded. The labor that delivers it is not. A five-year point of view on why the binding constraint moves up the value chain, from the jobsite to the trailer, and the scarce, AI-durable role becomes the credentialed green construction manager.

Aedifica Strategy InsightsPublished · 2026-06United States / New Jersey test case

Lead-time to competence, by role: the bottleneck migrates to whoever takes longest to train

weeks

1–4 yrs

5–8 yrs

5–10 yrs

LaborerSkilled tradeSite supervisorConstruction manager

Source: Aedifica analysis; lead-time bands from BLS occupational entry requirements.

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For the New Jersey-specific deep dive on this same shortage, see The Supervisor Gap.

Publications archive, status is carried by label and glyph, never by color alone.

R·01

The supervisor gap

The shortage of green-fluent construction managers in New Jersey: demand mapping, pipeline analysis, and pathway architecture. Aedifica Research, June 2026.

Published

R·02

Bridging Brilliance: a delivery case study

What a twelve-week, twenty-one-student community STEM intensive taught us about running cohorts inside a real school week: materials, staffing, showcase, and what we would change.

Published

R·03

Who will run the build?

A five-year, national point of view: why the binding constraint in US construction moves up the value chain, and the credentialed green construction manager becomes the scarcest, most AI-durable role in the built environment. Aedifica Strategy Insights, June 2026.

Published

R·04

Outcome definitions that survive an audit

A methods note: how Aedifica fixes placement, credential, wage, and articulation definitions before cohort one, and why same-definition reporting is the moat.

In progress

R·05

The non-traditional advantage

Evidence review: why adults returning to work, veterans, and justice-impacted scholars out-persist traditional cohorts when wraparound design is done properly.

Planned

R·06

Rebuild Cohort 1: outcomes report

The first same-definition outcomes publication: placement, credential attainment, wage at placement, and articulation for the inaugural Rebuild cohort.

Planned

Methodology note. Aedifica Research distinguishes measured results from projections in every publication. Forward-looking figures, including the supervisor-gap estimates above, are Aedifica estimates, stated with their assumptions. Cohort outcomes are reported only after they occur, using definitions fixed before enrollment.